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So far I am making up for a poor weekend with a decent week this week. Here’s hoping is continues!
UCLA Bruins (6-6) @ #9 Oregon Ducks (10-2)
Pick: Oregon -31 & taking the over (66.5)
Reason: A 31 point spread is a gigantic number, I know, but UCLA is probably the worst team to play in a conference championship game ever. They gave up nearly 31 points a game, combine that with the face that Oregon nearly 46 and it’s a recipe for successfully covering a 31 point spread and going over 66.5 combined points.
#9 Florida Gators (5-1) @ #3 Syracuse Orange (7-0)
Pick: Syracuse -6 & taking the over (148.5)
Reason: I like the Orange to cover the spread by attacking a suspect Florida defense. The over (148.5) seems to be relatively easy to meet with Florida averaging 90.9 ppg and the Orange at 83.1 ppg.
Cincinnati Bearcats (4-2) @ Georgia Bulldogs (4-3)
Pick: Georgia +1.5
Reason: Cincinnati is pretty terrible. Combined with the fact that Georgia has 3 of their 4 total wins at home and that equals a Georgia win.
#19 Vanderbilt Commodores (5-2) @ #6 Louisville Cardinals (6-0)
Pick: Louisville -8
Reason: Louisville is off to a fantastic start (injuries be damned!) and is playing some ridiculous defense holding opponents to under 50 ppg on the season. The Cardinals are also 5-0 at home.
After a rough weekend in which I went 6-9 on my picks I am hoping to have a good week this week. Had a couple of close calls that could have made my picks a more manageable 8-7, but those .5 points killed me!
I didn’t put the pick up yesterday (since there was only the one), but I did take the over (51) in the Giants-Saints game. I won that pick, by the way, as the Giants got slaughtered 49-24.
NFL Season stats
On to tonight’s action;
#15 Michigan Wolverines @ Virginia Cavaliers
Pick: taking the over (115)
Reason: 115 is a very low number for two teams that regularly score over 60 ppg as a team. Michigan averaging 68.2 and Virginia 62.7.
Miami (OH) RedHawks @ Cincinnati Bearcats
Pick: Miami (OH) +11.5
Reason: Neither team is really any good, but Miami (OH) has been competitive in their two losses, one of which was a 6 point defeat to #14 Xaxier. Cincinnati on the other hand lost to Presbyterian…PRESBYTERIAN!
Eastern Michigan Eagles @ #3 Syracuse Orange
Pick: taking the over (131)
Reason: I see a good 90 point game from the Orange as a team, which leaves a measly 42 points left to be scored by lowly Eastern Michigan. I have faith in the Eagles.
Arizona @ New Mexico State
Pick: Arizona +3
Reason: This is a “I’m glad I don’t gamble pick” because I don’t have a concrete reason other than it just feels right. I fully expect my intuition is wrong.
#4 Duke @ #2 Ohio State
Pick: Duke +7.5
Reason: Does anyone really think giving a Duke team this good over 7 points to start the game?
I occasionally make picks on Covers.com for free. They are a part of a contest they have for various sports with weekly and monthly winners (I believe). It’s fun for me and the reason for that is I am at least half good because I consistently finish at 50% or slightly higher.
With that said, here are all of my picks for today (and probably a well below 50% win-loss record since I so obviously jinxed it).
Some games will have a reason listed and other will not. The ones that do not are because it’s either A) an obvious pick or B) a boring explanation (i.e. “it just feels right”, or “I have a hunch”)
Texas Tech @ #18 Baylor
Pick: Baylor -12 & taking the under (82)
Reason: I think Robert Griffin III and the Bears can easily cover the 12, they are clearly the better team. The o/u on the other hand is much more difficult. Both teams have put up tons of points during the season, but 82 just seems like such a huge number to me. If they go over than more power to them.
#17 Clemson @ #12 South Carolina
Pick: Clemson +3.5
Reason: Clemson had me fooled earlier this season into thinking they were a marginal great team and they are not, but neither is South Carolina who has been extremely inconsistent (at different times) on both sides of the ball. I’ll take the team that beat Auburn, Florida State, and Virginia Tech by a combined score of 106-57.
#22 Notre Dame @ #4 Stanford
Pick: taking the over (59.5)
Tulane @ Hawaii
Pick: taking the over (55)
San Diego – Alcorn State @ New Orléans
Pick: San Diego -11.5
UMass – Charleston @ Battle 4 Atlantis at Nassau, Bahamas
Pick: UMass -4
Northern Iowa – Providence @ South Padre Island Invitational at South Padre Island, TX
Pick: Northern Iowa -4.5 & taking the under (126)
UNLV – North Carolina @ Las Vegas Invitational
Pick: UNC -7.5 & taking the over (158.5)
Reason: UNLV has the unofficial home court advantage, but let’s be real here, the Tar Heels are the most stacked team in the country. I think that 7.5 point spread is solely on the fact that the game is being played in Las Vegas alone. The spread and over/under will both be blown away, in my opinion.
Deceiving headline, I know, but I’m talking about our NCAA Tournament brackets.
My wife and I have went head-2-head the last three years and I have lost every.single.time. It’s a little depressing.
Okay, it’s a lot depressing when you consider that she knows almost nothing about basketball in general, much less college basketball.
I have to beat her this year. It is just something that has to happen.
I’ll admit, I am a little frantic about this. I mean my wife is probably below even novice level and even though I am no expert, per se, I do think I know a pretty decent amount on the sport. At least enough that I should score a better NCAA Tournament bracket than her!
And yet the last three years (the only three years) that we have done this against each other and she has cleaned up each time.
This is my vow that I will, in fact, beat my wife senseless on our NCAA Tournament Challenge this year.
I will have updates after every round just to show everyone (or just the four people who might glance over this blog of mine) how I am winning.
Mark it down, I will win this year.